Debated in Parliament on 15 Oct 2012.
Mr Pritam Singh asked the Prime Minister with reference to NPTD's Issues Paper "Our Population, Our Future" (a) what is the optimum old-age support ratio that is required to keep the Singapore economy vibrant up to 2030; and (b) how many additional non-residents, PRs and/or Singaporeans are projected to be required for a reasonably sustainable old-age support ratio and what is the basis of this calculation.
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Our demographic changes will result in a smaller pool of working-age citizens and lower citizen old-age support ratio within the next decade. A multi-pronged approach is needed to overcome the challenges of a shrinking and ageing citizen workforce.
First, we are working towards raising our productivity through business restructuring and the retraining of our workforce through initiatives like the Productivity and Innovation Credit and Capability Development Scheme. Second, we are also encouraging more residents, including older workers and women, to enter and stay in the workforce through job-redesign and flexi-work schemes. Third, we need calibrated levels of foreign manpower to complement our resident workforce.
With current birth rates and no immigration, there will only be 2.1 working-age citizens (aged 20-64) to each citizen aged 65 and above in 2030. If our citizen population is supplemented by immigrants and a foreign workforce, the old-age support ratio in the total population will improve.
However, there are no international targets or recommended standards for the old-age support ratio. A declining ratio will mean a greater fiscal burden borne by working-age citizens. There will also be fewer citizens looking after their parents and elderly relatives. Issues regarding the sustainability of our citizen workforce will also arise.
A comparison of old-age support ratios of many developed countries today is in the table below.
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The Government is engaging the public on these issues and is preparing to release a White Paper on Population in January 2013. We have invited Singaporeans, including all Members of Parliament, to provide their views.
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